Win or lose, Dustin Poirier might step into the Octagon for the last time on Saturday when he challenges lightweight king Islam Makhachev for the title in the main event of UFC 302. Their scheduled five-round battle will top the main UFC 302 fight card starting at 10 p.m. ET from the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. The No. 4-ranked Poirier is one of the UFC's most celebrated active icons. He has already made 30 appearances for the promotion and is a former interim champion who has also challenged twice for the undisputed belt. Ever since this fight for UFC 302 was announced, Poirier reiterated that this could be his last bout and didn't back off that sentiment this week. Meanwhile, Makhachev is looking to make the third successful defense of his belt.
Makhachev is a -625 favorite (risk $625 to win $100), while Poirier is a +450 underdog in the latest UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier odds. In the co-main event, former middleweight champion Sean Strickland (-240) meets rugged brawler Paulo Costa (+200). Before locking in your picks for UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier, make sure you see the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Daniel Vithlani.
From breaking down film and following fighters and their camps closely, to tracking sharp action and betting market signals, Vithlani covers the breadth of the MMA betting landscape top to bottom. He also trains amateur boxers and speaks regularly with MMA fighters to understand the sport's nuances.
Vithlani made his SportsLine debut in January 2023 and swept the main card for UFC 283 with a 5-0 record and has been a consistent winner ever since. Over the past 11 UFC pay-per-view events, Vithlani has gone 7-4 on main-event picks and his main-card selections in that span have netted his followers a profit of more than $1,200.
His highlights include calling an upset for Sean O'Malley (+210) against Aljamain Sterling (-250) at UFC 292 as part of a 4-1 main card and his UFC 299 winners included underdog selections on Poirier (+190) against Saint Denis (-230) and Michael Page (+110) against Kevin Holland (-130). Anyone who has followed him has seen massive returns.
Now, with UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier on deck, Vithlani has studied the card from top to bottom and released his top selections. You can only see those picks at SportsLine.
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier preview
Makhachev (25-1) is currently No. 1 in the UFC's pound-for-pound fighter rankings. He hasn't lost in nearly nine years and brings a 13-fight winning streak into Saturday's UFC 302 main event. However, his star power thus far has been relatively limited for a fighter who appears to have the potential to be one of the promotion's more dominant champions in recent memory.
This is in large part because Makhachev keeps a modest public profile, but also has presented a somewhat abrasive disposition toward fellow fighters and media. Even so, even his most ardent critics can't deny that Makhachev has earned his status as an elite UFC champion.
The 32-year-old Dagestan native is a well-known prodigy of former undefeated lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov, who is Makhachev's primary coach and mentor.
Makhachev is a heavy favorite against Poirier (30-8-1), the 11-year UFC veteran who is one of the most popular fighters on the UFC roster. Poirier's extensive resume includes two knockout wins over Conor McGregor, two wins over former featherweight champion Max Holloway and a 1-1 split with Justin Gaethje.
However, his two title challenges resulted in submission losses to Nurmagomedov and Charles Oliveira. Even so, his comeback win against the highly regarded prospect Saint Denis, who closed as greater than a 2/1 favorite, showed that the 35-year-old Louisiana native is still among the UFC's elite. You can see more UFC 302 picks at SportsLine.
Top UFC 302 predictions
We'll share one of Vithlani's UFC 302 selections here: He is siding with Alex Morono (-235) to get his hand raised against Niko Price (+195) in a battle of veteran welterweights.
This is a rematch from nearly seven years ago in which the power-punching Price landed a second-round TKO, only to have the result overturned to a no-contest because of a positive drug test.
Morono (24-9-2) has become known for his technical proficiency and ability to exploit his opponent's weaknesses. The 33-year-old Texan has never lost back-to-back fights in his MMA career, though he is 2-2 in his last four following a four-fight winning streak.
Price is a former champion in the Fight Time promotion who joined the UFC with an undefeated record but has had mixed results against world-class opponents while becoming a fan favorite because of his reckless, defense-optional style. The 34-year-old Florida native has just one win in his last six appearances.
Makhachev vs Poirier Live
Poirier vs Makhachev Live Free
Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier Live
Dustin Poirier vs Islam Makhachev Live Stream
Islam Makhachev Fight Live
Dustin Poirier Fight Live
UFC 302 Live
UFC 302 Live Free
UFC 302 Live Stream
UFC 302 Live Online
Strickland vs Costa Live
Costa vs Strickland Live Stream
Sean Strickland vs Paulo Costa Live Free
Paulo Costa vs Sean Strickland Live Stream
Holland vs Oleksiejczuk Live
Oleksiejczuk vs Holland Live Stream
Kevin Holland vs Michal Oleksiejczuk Live Free
Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Kevin Holland Live Stream
Almeida vs Romanov Live
Romanov vs Almeida Live Stream
Jailton Almeida vs Alexandr Romanov Live Free
Alexandr Romanov vs Jailton Almeida Live Stream
Brown vs Santos Live
Santos vs Brown Live Stream
Randy Brown vs Elizeu dos Santos Live Free
Elizeu dos Santos vs Randy Brown Live Stream
Almeida vs Kopylov Live
Cesar Almeida vs Roman Kopylov Live Stream
Dawson vs Solecki Live
Grant Dawson vs Joe Solecki Live Stream
Rowe vs Matthews Live
Philip Rowe vs Jake Matthews Live Stream
Price vs Morono Live
Niko Price vs Alex Morono Live Stream
Gall vs Hafez Live
Mickey Gall vs Bassil Hafez Live Stream
Perez vs Edwards Live
Ailin Perez vs Joselyne Edwards Live Stream
Tumendemberel vs Lima Live
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel vs Andre Lima Live Stream
"Morono is a technical kickboxer who moves intelligently. He is also a very skilled Jiu-Jitsu player, with a dangerous guillotine choke," Vithlani told SportsLine. You can see more UFC 302 picks at SportsLine.
How to make UFC 302 picks
Vithlani also has strong picks for Makhachev vs. Poirier and other bouts on the UFC 302 card. He's also backing a fighter who "has a granite chin and lethal body kicks" to emerge with a dominant victory. Those picks and analysis are only available at SportsLine.
UFC 302 odds, fight card
See full UFC 302 picks, predictions, best bets here.
Islam Makhachev (-625) vs. Dustin Poirier (+450)
Sean Strickland (-240) vs. Paulo Costa (+200)
Kevin Holland (-260) vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (+210)
Jailton Almeida (-260) vs. Alexandr Romanov (+210)
Randy Brown (-180) vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (+155)
Cesar Almeida (-120) vs. Roman Kopylov (+100)
Grant Dawson (-400) vs. Joe Solecki (+310)
Jake Matthews (-160) vs. Philip Rowe (+135)
Alex Morono (-240) vs. Niko Price (+200)
Bassil Hafez (-330) vs. Mickey Gall (+260)
Ailin Perez (-200) vs. Joselyne Edwards (+170)
Andre Lima (-250) vs. Mitch Raposo (+205)
